COVID-19: Temperature rises an important factor in slowing down pandemic

Temperature rises will be an important factor slowing down the course of the coronavirus epidemic. As the temperature warms up, we will be spending more time outdoors. It is known that most infections occur indoors, said Prof. Ernest Kuchar from the Medical University of Warsaw in an interview for the Polish Press Agency.

The Ministry of Health announced on Tuesday 6,310 new coronavirus infections. On the previous day, nearly 42,000 coronavirus tests were done. A week ago, on Tuesday, nearly 5.2 thousand new infections were reported and 46,200 tests were performed. Two weeks ago, infections were confirmed in over 4,000 people with 43,500 tests performed.

"The number of infections should be interpreted in the context of the percentage of positive results. If it increases, it means that the coronavirus increases its importance among other respiratory infections" - said an infectious disease specialist at the Medical University of Warsaw, Dr. n. med. Ernest Kuchar in an interview with PAP. According to him, only some infections are detected - perhaps about half.

Referring to the current epidemic situation, Prof. Kuchar stated that there is a slight increase in growth, but this is no surprise. "After all, this third wave was talked about a long time ago. It is obvious that loosening the restrictions will increase the number of cases. There is also a new important factor - a more contagious mutation of the British coronavirus. Together these factors create the conditions conducive to increasing the number of infections" - said the expert.

"An important factor that counteracts the epidemic will be spring and the prevailing warmer temperatures. Then we will spend more time outdoors, and it is known that most infections, estimated even 7 out of 8 occur in closed rooms, where the concentration of the virus is higher" - he said. So - as he added - if it is warmer, the number of sick people will naturally decrease. In Prof. Kuchara’s opinion the most dangerous are, among others, shopping centres and buses.

He expressed hope that the current peak in the number of cases will be lower than last autumn, but - as he noted - the epidemic "has surprised us many times". He also pointed to the "erosion of restrictions" - many people do not comply with them or bend the rules. "Hence, the effects of the same restrictions are smaller than those introduced a few months ago" - he added.